Archive for travel weather

StormScapeLIVE.com LIVE Streaming Operations for the Southeast Severe Weather Outbreak of 3/26/11

Posted in Extreme Weather Video, Severe weather, weather photography with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 26, 2011 by stormstream

http://StormScapeLIVE.com will be broadcasting the severe weather outbreak across Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia LIVE today starting at 10am EDT. Click on the Mike Phelps and Brett Adair tabs on the web page above the video player to join us as our virtual storm chase partners! As always, we will have a high-quality video stream, as well as full audio at all times and an interactive chat room where you can communicate with us.

You can also now watch Mike Phelps’ live stream from your smart phone! Just go to the following page on your internet-enabled mobile device: http://www.dyyno.com/channel/stormscapelive#sid=9D04D8BE183AEC59

MEDIA: Click on the media tab on the web page to contact us for licensing a clean, logo and ad-free stream for use on air, and for live phoners from the field. Or, go to http://www.chasertv.com and click on the media page from there. We will provide you with a MAK code to access the clean stream.

FORECAST: A warm front stretches along the I-20 corridor through MS, AL and GA on this Saturday morning. Rain and a few elevated strong to severe storms are located along and north of that warm front. This convection will reinforce the warm front and basically hold it in its current position through much of the day, if anything lifting only very slowly northward this afternoon. Instability and shear will increase greatly along and about 100 miles south of the warm front this afternoon and evening, and that will provide a ripe environment for scattered surface-based supercells producing large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The StormScapeLIVE.com chase team will be intercepting these storms today beginning after 10am EDT. The best action should be between 3pm and 10pm EDT. We’ll have two chase vehicles covering the storms, with Mike Phelps in one, and Brett Adair and Eric Parker in the other.

This is a dangerous weather day across parts of the Southeast, so stay weather aware!

Mike Phelps
Owner – StormScapeLIVE.com

Late Season Winter Storm for Dixie

Posted in Winter weather with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 28, 2010 by stormstream

A late season winter storm is taking aim on parts of the Deep South.

Low pressure will roll eastward out of New Mexico & Texas on Monday tracking across the northern Gulf of Mexico, or just inland along the Gulf Coast states on Monday night and Tuesday. Meanwhile, some upper level energy from the northern branch of the jet stream will phase with this system, and give it a shot in the arm as it impacts areas from Alabama to Georgia and into South and North Carolina.

Temperatures are only going to be marginally supportive of snow, and really this could go either way fro areas of Alabama and Georgia. It’s either going to mostly all rain with maybe a brief changeover to snow for a few hours at the end of the event. Or, it’s going to be rain changing to a wet, heavy snow with large snowflakes falling steadily for at least 6 hours and accumulating to several inches. Unfortunately, we probably won’t know exactly how this is going to hash out until the actual event is unfolding on Monday night and Tuesday.

So, as of this time on the Sunday morning prior to the event I am not willing to put out an official forecast, so here is my unofficial thinking: 2 inches for Atlanta, GA, and 1 inch for Birmingham, AL. Mt. Cheaha, the highest elevation in Alabama could pick up 3 inches, and the east and northeast metro of Atlanta could see 3 inches, with maybe some isolated 4 inch amounts.

I’ll give my official thoughts on this system by 11pm EST on Sunday.

Severe Weather Threat Increasing through the Night acorss Louisiana, southern Arkansas, southwest Tennessee and Mississippi. Blizzard Continues to Rage across parts of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas.

Posted in Extreme Weather Video, Severe weather, Winter weather with tags , , , , , , , , , , on March 27, 2009 by stormstream

One round of strong to severe storms with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes rolled across southern MS, AL GA and north FL this morning into the early afternoon.  Those are no longer a threat, and now all eyes turn toward the west across east and northeast TX, southeast OK, southern AR and LA where the next, more significant round, of severe thunderstorms is getting going.  These will sweep eastward through the overnight hours across the areas just mentioned and into southwest TN and MS, producing a dangerous scenario where very dangerous thunderstorms, some producing tornadoes, move across the region in darkness.  This makes an already dangerous event, even that much more dangerous.

This is one of those situations where conditions for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes will actually improve through the overnight hours as wind field increase, and upper level jet energy and dynamics overspread a moist and unstable airmass.  Tornado watches will be issued in progressive order from west to east throughout the night with watches likely as far eastward as western and southwestern Alabama by sunrise Saturday.  Those of you in the danger zone overnight should have an operational weather radio, and take very serious all watches and warnings issued for your area.  It cannot be stressed enough how dangerous this situation is.

By sunrise Saturday there should be an area of severe thunderstorms moving into west-central and southwest AL.  These will produce damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes.  In the 8am to noon time frame, dangerous storms will impact the southern 2/3rds of AL, west-central and southwest GA and into the FL panhandle.  Severe storms will also extend northward across middle TN and even into KY.  Intense and deep convection could develop along the Gulf coast, and if this happens the moisture influx into storms farther north will be disrupted, and there will be a general lessening of the intensity of the event.  However, this widespread and deep coastal convection is certainly not a given so that will have to be monitored closely.  Also, there is some question as to how far north the warm front will get.  If it stays south of Atlanta, then these major Southeast population center will be spared the worst of the severe weather.   Even though there are some encouraging factors that could lessen the overall severity of this event, it remains a very dangerous one through the day Saturday that everyone needs to pay special attention to and listen for the latest watches and warnings issued for your area.  If the severe weather ingredients available for this system were to come together just right, then it has the potential to be a major severe weather and tornado outbreak on Saturday, so DO NOT let your guard down.  Through Saturday afternoon and evening, the severe threat  sweeps across the remainder of GA, north FL, the Carolinas, and VA.

Meanwhile, back in the middle part of the country a raging late season blizzard is well underway and will continue through Saturday and into Sunday.  Thundersnow, snowfall rates of 3 inches per hour, 50 mph winds, zero visibility, 10 to 20 inches of snow, and snow drifts 10 to 20 feet high will create and extremely dangerous condition for those hardest hit across the northern TX panhandle, the OK panhandle and northwest OK, and southwest and central KS.  Here is a link to a web cam in the city I spent the first 32 years of my life in, Wichita, KS.  http://www.360wichita.com/wichitacam/  They have been spared the worst of it so far as some warm air aloft has worked in and created a lot of sleet for Wichita, but coler air aloft will quickly rush in and very heavy snow will fall most of the night and into Saturday morning, piling up to 10 to 16 inches in depth.  Tree limbs and power lines are going to come down in the strong winds and snow, and many folks in the region are going to lose power tonight, and it’ll be a few days before crews can get out and fix the problems.  Just a terrible situation.  My elderly parents live in Wichita, and I’m very worried about them.

My plan is to monitor the weather situation closely from the StormStream Severe Weather Operation Center through the night.  Storm chase and live streaming operations could begin as early as 8am Saturday and continue through much of the day.  I will be streaming at http://www.severestudios.com/livechase/ and http://www.ustream.tv/channel/stormstream-forecast-operations/

Blizzard Conditions Expected Tonight in the Tennessee and North Carolina Mountains. I’ll be Broadcasting Live on the Internet from that Location!

Posted in Extreme Weather Video, Severe weather, Winter weather with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 3, 2009 by stormstream

I will be broadcasting live from the location of the snow storm this afternoon and tonight.  You can view my broadcast live on the internet at http://www.ustream.tv/channel/mike-phelps-mobile-weather-stream.  When I am not streaming you will see a slide show of my weather and nature photography.  The main broadcast time today will be between 3pm and midnight, although I will be streaming my drive to the location as  well, and that will be between 11am and 3pm EST.

A strong upper level disturbance combined with a moist upslope flow will cause snow across the mountains of eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina to increase after noon today, and become heavy toward sunset.  Wind and heavy snow tonight will create blizzard conditions on the mountain tops.

Total snow accumulations between now and Thursday morning will be 2 to 6 inches at elevations below 2,800 feet.  Elevations between 2,800 and 4,000 feet will see 4 to 8 inches of snow, and elevations above 4, 000 feet will see 6 to 10 inches.  Some of the favored west-facing slopes at 5,000 feet and above elevation could see a foot of snow, combined with 50mph wind and wind chills of 20 below zero tonight.  Truly blizzard conditions.

My plan to intercept this major winter storm is to head north on I-75 to I-40, then take I-81.  I’ll then take I-26 eastward to Johnson City and make a final plan to either target Roan Mountain, TN or Beech Mountain, NC.  The plan is to be in the target area by 3 or 4 pm EST.

Major Winter storm WILL Impact Parts of the Southeast Next Monday and Tuesday

Posted in Winter weather with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 29, 2009 by stormstream

I normally do not make such a declarative statement so many days in advance of a weather system, but based on my thoughts on how the weather pattern would evolve all month, and based on overwhelming model support, I feel 100% confident in saying a high-impact winter storm will affect parts of the southeast on Monday, February 2 and Tuesday, February 3, with the worst of the storm happening in the noon Monday to 6am Tuesday time frame based on current models.

Of course nothing is set in stone with this system, and much can change between now and Monday.  The most likely things to change would be the strength and track of the surface low pressure system.  These changes, even if slight, can and will translate into major changes in the forecast since the synoptic heavy snows associated with the low pressure system are likely to be confined to a rather narrow corridor.  So, pinning down exactly where the heavy snow will set up this early in the game simply cannot be done with any kind of accuracy.  Sure, someone could throw a forecast out there, and they could very well get lucky and have it verify, but it would truly be a case of “skilled luck” as I call it.

In general terms, the areas that are most likely to see snow Monday would be northern MS, western and middle TN, northern AL and northwest GA.  On Monday night and Tuesday morning the snow would affect the remainder of north GA, the upstate of SC, eastern TN and western and central NC.  The central and northern mountains of TN and NC look particularly interesting as they could see a burst of heavy synoptic snow early Tuesday morning, then a prolonged northwest flow upslope event that lasts from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning that will add to their snow depth.  The ski resorts will be loving it by next weekend.

Finally, there will likely be a severe thunderstorm component to this system.  A severe squall line with damaging winds being the main threat could sweep across southeast AL, southern GA and much of FL Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.  Depending on the track of the surface low, central and eastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina could get in on some severe storm activity as well.

Many more finer details regarding this storm will come into focus this weekend, so keep checking in for my latest thoughts on this major system.