Updated Storm Chase Plans and Forecast

It’s late morning and I am still in Atlanta looking things over and trying to figure this thing out. The complex of rain and storms moving across GA, southeast AL and north FL, is really complicating things. I’ve decided it’s just not worth the drive to head to south GA today, so my focus is turning west to Alabama this afternoon along and ahead of the advancing cold front, and where the warm front intersects this front.

The cool pool in the wake of this MCS is significant. It’s chilly in ATL right now with a temperature of only 57. This pool of cool, stable, sinking air is going to keep central and northern GA quiet for much of the day. We are watching for airmass recovery to the west of the complex across AL. Divergence aloft may aid greatly in getting storms going there this afternoon, as well as higher dewpoints and instability.

Shear values increase across GA, so storms may develop in AL this afternoon and then become better organized, and possibly form into supercells as the approach the GA/AL border and move into west-central and southwest GA.

So, here are my revised storms chase and streaming plans for the remainder of the day:

LIVE INTERNET BROADCAST: Broadcasting live on both Severe Studios and Ustream. http://www.severestudios.com/livechase/ and http://ustream.tv/channel/mike-phelps-mobile-weather-stream/ Tune in and ride along with us through the wonders of streaming technology!

TARGET: Columbus, GA to Roanoke, AL to Clanton, AL to Montgomery, AL to Eufaula, AL and back to Columbus, GA.

TIME: Continue to monitor for ATL through the noon hour. If conditions warrant, make a move to get into the target by 3pm.

CONFIDENCE OF SUCCESS LEVEL: Still a low to moderate confidence level in today’s chase opportunities. Still some things to be worked out in the atmosphere before my confidence level rises.

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